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A crucial aspect of empirical research based on the vector autoregressive (VAR) model is the choice of the lag order, since all inference in the VAR model is based on the chosen lag order. Here, a new information criterion is introduced for this purpose. The conducted Monte Carlo simulation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005471415
The objective of this simulation study is to investigate whether the likelihood ratio (LR) test can pick the optimal lag order in the vector autoregressive model when the most applied information criteria (i.e. vector Schwarz-Bayesian, SBC and vector Hannan-Quinn, HQC) suggest two different lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992323
The Fisher Effect (FE) is of fundamental importance in financial markets. The majority of previous studies have not managed to obtain the expected one-for-one reaction of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate. The aim of this article is to reinvestigate the FE for the USA and the UK...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009195875
Due to increasing globalization and its potential benefits, many emerging markets have introduced capital liberalization policies to attract much needed foreign direct investment. The objective of this article is to empirically investigate whether the conducted deregulation policies resulted in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005485058
Using bootstrap causality tests with leveraged adjustments, the link between exchange rates and stock prices in Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand is investigated for the periods immediately before and during the 1997 Asian crisis. Two variables are found to be significantly linked in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005485210
This paper investigates the size properties of a test for contagion based on an asymptotic t -distribution. The simulations show that this asymptotic test does not have correct size properties. An alternative test method based on case-resampling bootstrapping is introduced to improve on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005495900
A crucial input in the hedging of risk is the optimal hedge ratio - defined by the relationship between the price of the spot instrument and that of the hedging instrument. Since it has been shown that the expected relationship between economic or financial variables may be better captured by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005435588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005444776
In this paper we examine the relationships between two sets of three variables: Swedish real exports, Swedish real GDP, and foreign real GDP in one set; and Swedish real exports, Swedish total factor productivity, and foreign real GDP in the other set. The foreign real GDP facing Sweden is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382188
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005403408