In this paper, a new class of polarization measures is derived axiomatically. The concept of polarization is here identified with the decline of the middle class. In particular, we extend the definition of middle class towards a more realistic framework: the middle class is defined in terms of...

This paper develops a simple framework to characterize the distribution of income and wealth in a real business cycle model. Agents are of two types depending on the human factor of production they own and they are located in separated markets, cities. In each city the two types of agent match...

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric model to estimate rating migration matrices and default probabilities using the reinforced urn processes (RUP) introduced in Muliere et al. (2000). The estimated default probability becomes our prior information in a parametric model for the prediction of the...

The ROC curve is one of the most common statistical tools useful to assess classifier performance. The selection of the best classifier when ROC curves intersect is quite challenging. A novel approach for model comparisons when ROC curves show intersections is proposed. In particular, the...

We introduce a stochastic process based on nonhomogeneous Poisson processes and urn processes which can be reinforced to produce a mixture of semi-Markov processes. By working with the notion of exchangeable blocks within the process, we present a Bayesian nonparametric framework for handling...

In this paper we estimate income distributions, Lorenz curves and the related Gini index using a Bayesian nonparametric approach based on Polya tree priors. In particular, we propose an alternative approach for dealing with contaminated observations and extreme income values: avoiding the common...

This paper proposes a method for detecting income classes based on the change-point problem. There is an increasing demand for such a method in the literature. Computation of polarization indices requires a pre-grouping of the incomes. Similarly, indices of social exclusion and sometimes indices...

Given any income distribution, to each income we associate a subgroup containing all persons whose incomes are not higher than this income and a person's target shortfall in a subgroup is the gap between the subgroup highest income and his own income. We then develop an absolute target shortfall...