Similar Search Results

Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared

Green, Kesten; Armstrong, J. Scott; Graefe, Andreas - In: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2007) 8, pp. 17-20

The Delphi technique is better than traditional group meetings for forecasting and has some advantages over another promising alternative to meetings, prediction markets. In this article, Kesten, Scott, and Andreas observe the increasing popularity of Delphi, describe the benefits of using this...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005526902

P.E. Tetlock, Expert political judgment: How good is it? How can we know?, Princeton University Press (2006) ISBN 978-0-691-12871-9 Paperback, 352 pp..

Tschoegl, Adrian E.; Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 23 (2007) 2, pp. 339-342

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428676

Predicting Presidential Elections and Other Things,: Ray C. Fair. Stanford University Press: Stanford, CA, 2002, 168 pp., Hardback, ISBN 0-8047-4509-9, $26.00.

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 19 (2003) 4, pp. 760-761

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428732

Decomposition by causal forces: a procedure for forecasting complex time series

Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred; Yokum, J. Thomas - In: International Journal of Forecasting 21 (2005) 1, pp. 25-36

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428842

A case study of expert judgment: Economists probabilities versus base-rate model forecasts : Phillip A. Braun and Ilan Yaniv, Journal of behavioral decision making, 5 (1992), 217-231

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993) 3, pp. 431-431

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428882

"How useful are the forecasts of intergovernmental agencies? The IMF and OECD versus the consensus": Batchelor, Roy (2001), Applied Economics, 33, pp. 225-235. E-mail address: R.A.Batchelor@city.bc.uk

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 18 (2002) 3, pp. 482-483

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428900

Predicting insurance agent turnover using a video-based judgement test : Anthony T. Dalessio, 1994, Journal of Business an Psychology, 9, 23-32

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 12 (1996) 2, pp. 322-323

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428920

The great depression of 1990 : Ravi Batra, (Simon and Schuster, New York, 1985) pp. 235, $14.95

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 4 (1988) 3, pp. 493-495

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428934

Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings

Dakin, Stephen; Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 5 (1989) 2, pp. 187-194

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428938

Accuracy of judgmental forecasts: A comparison : R. Nada Sanders, Omega, 20 (1992) 353-364

Armstrong, J. Scott - In: International Journal of Forecasting 9 (1993) 3, pp. 429-430

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428968