This paper analyses the basic features of technical and distributional changes in the US since the Civil War as the expression of the gradual emergence of a new paradigm, corresponding to a Managerial Revolution, and its replacement of the earlier organization inherited from the Industrial...

Discrete time volatility models typically employ a latent scale factor to represent volatility. High frequency data may be used to construct proxies for these scale factors. Examples are the intraday high-low range and the realized volatility. This paper develops a method for ranking and...

In dynamic economic models derived from optimization principles, the forward equilibrium dynamics may not be uniquely de…fined, while the backward dynamics is well de…fined. We derive properties of the global forward equilibrium paths based on properties of the backward dynamics. We propose...

We present results from 50-rounds experimental markets in which firms decide repeatedly both on price and quantity of a perishable good. The experiment is designed to study the price-quantity setting behavior of subjects acting as firms in monopolistic competition. In the implemented treatments...

We introduce a simple equilibrium model of a market for loans, where households lend to firms based on heterogeneous expectations about their loan default probability. Agents select among heterogeneous expectation rules, based upon their relative performance. A small fraction of pessimistic...