This paper aims to investigate the form of systematic risk of Australian industrial stock returns. We suggest using four stochastic state-space models for the analysis. The stochastic properties of systematic risk are studied by examining four classes of state-space models: random walk model,...

The Consumer Sentiment Index (CSI) is a widely monitored economic indicator. The index measures consumer expectations, which contain information about potential future changes in consumer spending. Thus, any change in the dynamics of the sentiment index should contain important signals about...

This paper examines the existence and prevalence of investor herding behaviour in a segmented market setting, the Chinese A and B stock markets. It is the first study to detail the difference in herding behaviour across A and B markets. The results indicate that investors exhibit different...

Survival analysis is used to estimate time-varying probabilities of price reversals using daily data for the Australian All Ordinaries Price Index. Lagged price changes lead to persistence (shortening) in a price run if they are of the same (opposite) sign as the run. An increase in the number...

This paper is the first to present a two-stage peer group benchmarking approach to evaluate the performance of hedge funds. We present different ways of orthogonalizing the peer group benchark and discuss their propperties in general. We propose to orthogonalize the benchmark against all other...

Bandwidth plays an important role in determining the performance of local linear estimators. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to bandwidth selection for local linear estimation of time–varying coefficient time series models, where the errors are assumed to follow the Gaussian...

Since conventional cross–validation bandwidth selection methods don’t work for the case where the data considered are dependent time series, alternative bandwidth selection methods are needed. In recent years, Bayesian based global bandwidth selection methods have been proposed....