This paper endeavors to compare the profitability of Moving Average Envelopes and Bollinger Bands. Despite the fact that Bollinger Bands can capture sudden price fluctuations which Moving Average Envelopes cannot, our study reveals that Bollinger Bands do not outperform the Moving Average Envelopes.

Using daily open-to-close and close-to-open stock prices, this paper examines whether there are any lead-lag relationships between the Tokyo Stock Exchange and the other G7 stock markets. In particular, this paper analyzes whether the movements of other markets in the preceding trading session...

This paper develops a new kind of aggregation model. We extend the work of Linden (1999) to allow the AR coefficient to be drawn from a polynomial density function. The polynomial density incorporates a wealth of multi-modal density functions as special cases. Given the aggregate data, we...

This paper considers the asymptotic behavior of the break-point estimator when some or all of the variables in a structural-break model are misspecified. An obvious example is misspecifying a linear model as a log--log model. The results given here cover a large number of data transformations,...

We study the effects of ARCH errors on the performance of the commonly used lag length selection criteria. The most important finding of this study is that SIC, FPE, HQC and BIC perform considerably well in estimating the true autoregressive lag length, even in the presence of ARCH errors. Thus,...

Most of the existing autoregressive models presume that the observations are perfectly measured. In empirical studies, the variable of interest is unavoidably measured with various kinds of errors. Thus, misleading conclusions may be yielded due to the inconsistency of the parameter estimates...

Conventional two-sided matching game is a one-period game. In this note, we contribute to the existing literature by examining a multi-period two-sided matching problem allowing for the possibility of a divorce. We assume that the matching game is played repeatedly and the payoff matrix changes...

Consider a simple change-point model with a binary regressor. We examine the consistency of the change-point estimator when the regressor is subject to misclassification. It is found that the time of change can always be identified. Further, special cases where the structural parameters can also...

This article explores the potential existence of comovements between the stock prices in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The cointegration test shows that the prices of a substantial number of A shares and H shares have started to cointegrate with each other after the launch of the Closer Economic...