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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005531560
This paper examines the relationship between the equity premium and the risk free rate at three different maturities using post 1973 data for a panel of 7 OECD countries. We show the existence of subsample instabilities, of some cross country differences and of inconsistencies with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772304
This paper analyses the empirical interdependences among asset returns, real activity and inflation from a multicountry and international point of view. We find that nominal stock returns are significantly related to inflation only in the US, that the US term structure of interest rates predicts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005772455
This paper examines the importance of monetary disturbances for cyclical fluctuations in real activity and inflation. It employs a novel identification approach which uses the sign of the cross-correlation function in response to shocks to assign a structural interpretation to orthogonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712776
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De Nicol? Honohan, and Ize assess the benefits and risks associated with dollarization of the banking system. The authors provide novel empirical evidence on the determinants of dollarization, its role in promoting financial development, and on whether dollarization is associated with financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989712
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We provide methods for forecasting variables and predicting turning points in panel Bayesian VARs. We specify a flexible model that accounts for both interdependencies in the cross section and time variations in the parameters. Posterior distributions for the parameters are obtained for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504253