This article explains the implications of asset market integration for the decision making process of market participants and tests the integration between futures and spot markets. Integration is investigated with respect to the hypothesis that the sources of systematic risk in futures and spot...

This article identifies some shortcomings in the tests of the Keynesian hypothesis implemented so far. The previous studies either assume integration between futures and equity markets or rely on a methodology that might produce incorrect inferences regarding the presence of a futures risk...

In this paper we investigate whether there are any significant differences in the ability of constant and time-varying expected return asset pricing models to detect superior performance in hedge funds. Our results strongly suggest that the static models traditionally employed to measure and...

This article studies the link between the predictability of futures returns and the business cycle. Modelling the relationship between the variation through time in expected futures returns and economic activity should give us some insight as to whether the predictable movements in futures...

Recent research has discussed the possible role of unsystematic risk in explaining equity returns. Simultaneously, but somehow independently, numerous other studies have documented the failure of the static and conditional capital asset pricing models to explain the differences in returns...

In this paper we extend the research on the predictability of stock and bond markets to futures markets. By using stock and bond market forecasting variables we build ex ante models of the MATIF CAC 40 and DFB DAX stock index futures contracts. Since it is possible to construct a practical...

This paper investigates whether the predictability of futures returns is due to weak-form market inefficiency or to rational variation in the return required by investors over time. Market efficiency is tested with respect to the hypothesis that a conditional multifactor model that allows for...

A vast literature has documented the value premium and the small firm effect as pervasive stylized facts in empirical asset pricing and yet research has been largely unable to provide entirely convincing explanations of why these phenomena exist. This paper demonstrates that the cross-sectional...

This study considers the relationship between trading volumes, transactions costs, and the profitability of momentum strategies using data from the UK. We demonstrate that round-trip transactions costs for selling loser firms are around double those of buying winners, and in particular, the...

type="main" xml:lang="en" <p>This paper tests whether the variation in expected futures returns reflects rational pricing in an efficient market or weak-form market inefficiency. The issue is investigated by looking at the abnormal performance of a trading rule based on available information. Once...</p>