The study analyses the determinants of 24 emerging markets spreads at the period of 1998-2005, through a panel data model determining which sovereigns are more vulnerable to an external shock of liquidity and risk. Nevertheless the usual variables related to shocks, such as the US treasury and...

O objetivo deste estudo consiste em respaldar políticas com potencial de reduzir a vulnerabilidade econômica de um grupo de 23 países emergentes no período de 1998 a 2007, amostra que corresponde a mais de 96% da capitalização de mercado do índice Emerging Markets Bond Index Global...

Recently, a myriad of factor models including macroeconomic variables have been proposed to analyze the yield curve. We present an alternative factor model where term structure movements are captured by Legendre polynomials mimicking the statistical factor movements identified by Litterman and...

In this paper we evaluate the effect of the real exchange rate volatility on thehysteresis band relative to investment plans in output and export capacityenlargement in the thirty six industrial sectors in the Brazilian input-output matrix.For this, the approach by Dixit (1989a e b) was extended...

This paper proposes a simple structural model to estimate the term structure of sovereign spreads and the implied default probability of a selected group of emerging countries, which accounts for more than 50% of the J. P. Morgan EMBIG index. The real exchange rate dynamics, modeled as a pure...

Petroleum exploration in Brazil is performed throughout a bidding process coordinated by the National Petroleum Agency (NPA), where the exploration and production (E&P) firms need to evaluate concessions performing financial and economic analyses routinely. Since oil is a public resource with...

This study argues in favour of the real option methodology to calculate the access price for Brazilian fixed-line phone operators. The new cost-oriented regulatory framework for interconnection of telecommunication networks established in 2005 poses questions regarding the adequate remuneration...