Gregory, Allan W; Smith, Gregor W; Yetman, James - In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 19 (2001) 1, pp. 34-43
A panel of forecasts may be defined to be in consensus when individual forecasters place identical weights on a common latent variable. We suggest this definition and formulate a dynamic latent-variable model to test for consensus. This method also tests whether it is valid to use the mean...