This paper introduces a strategy for modeling the exchange rate when the monetary authority targets inflation while also managing the exchange rate using interventions. It does so in the framework of a standard reduced-form New Keynesian model of monetary transmission used in many institutions...

We propose the method of eigenvalue filtering as a new tool to extract time series subcomponents (such as business-cycle or irregular) defined by properties of the underlying eigenvalues. We logically extend the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of the VAR time-series models focusing on the...

Using a dynamic general equilibrium model calibrated for the Czech Republic, we first estimate the impact of structural shocks on the observed realizations of the interest rate and inflation, while the main focus is put on the estimation of monetary policy shocks. These occur whenever monetary...

Èlánek struènì shrnuje dosavadní pøístupy k odhadu parametrù a poèáteèních podmínek pro modely ve stavovém tvaru. Ukazuje možnosti využití jednotlivých metod, stejnì jako jejich výhody a nevýhody. Podrobnìji je zde zmiòována metoda maximální vìrohodnosti pro modely ve...

Central bank policymakers often cast judgement about macroeconomic forecasts in reduced form terms, basing this on off-model information that is not easily mapped to a structural DSGE framework. We show how to compute forecasts conditioned on policymaker judgement that are the most likely...

Facilities of adaptive Bayesian identification as well as utilizing a suitably-rebui1t linearized model as a model controlled by an optimal control system will be demonstrated in this paper. Estimation of time-variant parameters was performed by mean of extended Kalman-Bucy fi1ter with smoothing...

Facilities of adaptive Bayesian identification as well as utilizing a suitably-rebuilt linearized model as a model controlled by an optimal control system will be demonstrated in this paper. Estimation of time-variant parameters was performed by mean of extended Kalman-Bucy filter with smoothing...

We investigate the implications of the existence of multi-period fixed-rate loans for the behaviour of a small open economy exposed to finance shocks and housing boom-and-bust cycles. To this end, we propose a simple and analytically tractable method of incorporating multi-period debt into an...

The Euro and Economic Stability assesses the euro area’s merits as a shelter and the merits of euro assets as a safe haven and reviews the case for rapid euro adoption from a post-crisis view. Policymakers and economists provide relevant lessons from euro area divergences for future euro...

We address the question of exchange rate regime for the Czech Republic before it enters the EU and the EMU. We classify macroeconomic impacts of a single currency regime according to the traditional OCA theory. Using quantitative measures, we find the degree of macroeconomic convergence between...