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alternative to expected utility theory. Conventional theory posits that the optimal hedging position of a producer is not affected … producer is affected by changes in futures price levels. The implications of this price-induced hedging behavior on spot prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009002498
. For example, the nature of monotonicity of the indifference curve depends on the underlying mean. Price hedging decisions … hedging decisions within the prospect theory. We illustrate our general considerations with a thoroughly worked out example. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226254
We develop an algorithm to compute asset allocations for Kahneman and Tversky’s (Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291, 1979) prospect theory. An application to benchmark data as in Fama and French (Journal of Financial Economics, 47(2), 427–465, 1992) shows that the equity premium puzzle is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701604
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709862
There exists no completely satisfactory theory of risk attitude in current normative decision theories. Existing notions confound attitudes to pure risk with unrelated psychological factors such as strength of preference for certain outcomes, and probability weighting. In addition traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005709888
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Traditional economic theory assumes rational individuals with stable preferences who, given an array of options and probabilities, maximize their expected utility. However, experimental research finds that individuals make systematic “mistakes” when attempting to maximize their expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005711533
There is evidence that risk-taking behavior is influenced by prior monetary gains and losses. When endowed with house money, people become more risk taking. This paper is the first to report a house money effect in a dynamic, financial setting. Using an experimental method, we compare market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005711629
The literature in psychology and behavioral economics offers abundant instances of anomalies to the rational choice paradigm. One of the most prominent works attempting to reconcile these is Kahneman and Tversky’s Prospect Theory. Its well-known S-shaped value function accounts for some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005711715
In this paper we examine how risk attitudes change with age. We present participants from age 5 to 64 with choices between simple gambles and the expected value of the gambles. The gambles are over both gains and losses, and vary in the probability of the non-zero payoff. Surprisingly, we find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005711730