In contrast to decision models which use in-sample scenarios we use out-of-sample scenarios to conduct simulation and decision evaluation including backtesting. We propose two simulation methodologies and describe six decision evaluation techniques that can be applied to test the performance of...

This paper proposes a model for portfolio optimization, in which distributions are characterized and compared on the basis of three statistics: the expected value, the variance and the CVaR at a specified confidence level. The problem is multi-objective and transformed into a single objective...

The paper considers kernel estimation of conditional quantiles for both short-range and long-range-dependent processes. Under mild regularity conditions, we obtain Bahadur representations and central limit theorems for kernel quantile estimates of those processes. Our theory is applicable to...