Managers, typically, are unaware of the significant impact their decisions could have on the random mechanism driving a data generating process. Here, a new parametric Bayesian technique is introduced that would allow managers to obtain an estimate of the impact of their decisions on the...

This paper develops an estimation strategy for and then applies a spatial autoregressive multinomial probit model to account for both spatial clustering and cross-alternative correlation. Estimation is achieved using Bayesian techniques with Gibbs and the generalized direct sampling (GDS). The...

Several studies incorporating estimated volatilities into option pricing formulas have appeared in the literature. However, the models described in these studies tend to perform quite poorly in out-of-sample tests. In particular, significant departures from the observed prices can be seen for...

A new simulation method, "auxiliary random functions" is introduced. When used within a Gibbs sampler, this method enables a unified treatment of exact, right-censored, left-censored, left-truncated and interval censored data, with and without covariates in survival models. The models and...