Hess, Gregory D; Iwata, Shigeru - In: Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 15 (1997) 4, pp. 432-44
Since the extensive work by Burns and Mitchell, many economists have interpreted economic fluctuations in terms of business-cycle phases. Given this, the authors argue that, in addition to usual model-selection criteria currently used in the profession, the adequacy of a univariate macroeconomic...