This paper uses an artificial neural network (ANN) model to forecast broad dividends, and computes fundamental stock prices with a stochastic discount factor (SDF). Broad dividends are used because they measure payouts to shareholders more accurately. Since nonlinearity is found in broad...

We study fluctuations in stock prices using a framework derived from the present value model augmented with a macroeconomic factor. The fundamental value is derived as the expected present discounted value of broad dividends that include, in addition to traditional cash dividends, other payouts...