Showing 1 - 10 of 16
Previous studies have found some degree of inefficiency in betting markets. However, it is difficult to implement a strategy to take advantage of these biases. This article investigates and attempts to arbitrage interrelated betting markets by undertaking three betting simulations using two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549554
Simulcast wagering, where bets from across the country are taken at tracks, off-track betting facilities, casinos, by phone or online and incorporated into the same mutuel pool, has contributed to a large increase in betting volume on American horse races since the mid-1990s. This article...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005738738
This paper is an analysis of the demand for thoroughbred racetrack wagers, examining evidence that would support the existence of two types of bettors: the risk-averse informed bettor versus the uninformed bettor. Looking at 12 major racetracks over the fall of 2002, we undertake an empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005215422
Many empirical studies have found the existence of a bias where the general public overestimates low probability events. This phenomenon has been termed the favourite-longshot bias and has been much studied in betting markets. This article looks at efficiency in multihorse 'exotic' wagers using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005475392
This article is an analysis of the price movements in a speculative market at closing. Specifically, we look at 1644 US horse races and analyse the change in betting pool totals and their suggested probabilities to confirm that late wagers on average come from more informed bettors. Almost 40%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005265338
Previous studies of the National Hockey League (NHL) betting market claim a general movement towards efficiency over the last two decades. These studies, however, assume a homogenous betting market with regards to the time of year in which bets are placed. Differences in available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010611902
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791163
Previous studies of efficient markets in parimutuel betting isolated only one race characteristic, determining efficiency by comparing subjective to objective probabilities of different groupings. By incorporating regression analysis and looking at a wide range of race specific variables, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005471553
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005250369
Previous studies point to a generally efficient baseball betting market with no profitable betting strategies. However, failure to consider the time of year in which the bets are placed neglects differences in available information throughout the season. This analysis largely confirms the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549355