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Seit dem Einbruch der Aktienmärkte Anfang 2000 hat die Fed durch massive Liquiditätszufuhr versucht, die amerikanische Wirtschaft zu stabilisieren. Ein wesentliches Motiv war die Befürchtung, die amerikanische Wirtschaft könne in eine Liquiditätsfalle geraten. Motiviert von der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005047003
The aim of this article is to use probabilistic ideas to study predictive reasoning based on hypotheses and models, but without using Ito calculus, without writing any stochastic differential equations, in fact without writing any formulas at all. The aim is to extract from the study of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899270
Financial frictions have been identified as key factors affecting economic fluctuations and growth. But, can institutional reforms reduce financial frictions? Based on a canonical investment model, we consider two potential channels: (i) financial transaction costs at the firm level; and (ii)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680276
statistical properties of the return and volatility of the Nikkei 225. It shows that both follow a long range dependence, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825859
High-dimensional pricing problems frequently arise with financial options (examples include basket options, outperformance options, interest-rate and foreign currency options) and real options. American versions of these options, i.e., where the owner has the right to exercise early, are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005663863
In this paper, the development of price volatility on German agricultural markets is analyzed. The goal is to quantify … the degree of price volatility for selected German agricultural markets and determine how it evolutes over time. Where …, questions are: Was there an increase in price volatility? Did it came from the world markets? What is the impact of price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003989
In order to analyse the interest rate transmission mechanism, we study daily Euro-rates term structure for the US, Germany, and the UK between 1983 and 1997. We estimate multivariate VECM-GARCH models, which takes into account most of the usual feaures of financial data (non-stationarity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487060
In the folklore of emerging markets, there is a popular belief that bubbles are inevitable. In this paper, our objective is to estimate a state-space model for rational bubbles in selected Asian economies with the aid of the Kalman Filter. For each economy, we derive a possible picture of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977564
Volatility is one of the most important characteristics of any financial instrument return. The idea which states that … volatility of financial assets and it corresponds well with the efficient market hypothesis. Therefore, all volatility models use … implements the assumption that the volatility of an asset depends on the market volatility. But the relationship is not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599754
average index (Nikkei 225) and other financial markets by introducing a volatility-constrained correlation metric. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709968