This paper compares different forecasting approaches for the Argentine monetary aggregate M2, which is a key variable for monetary policy. First, we estimate a conditional equilibrium-correction model of money demand, which is theory consistent and accounts for the main features of the data....

This paper studies the relationship between devaluation and default risks during Argentina's convertibility regime. Before default and devaluation occurred, a harder variant of the currency regime was under discussion. An often-suggested argument among the supporters of dollarization was that...

The purpose of this note is to contribute to modeling time series that may be characterized as integrated. In particular, a discussion about the use of standard distributions in regression models is included and some essential concepts are previously reviewed to this effect. The main objective...

This paper compares the impact of the inflation tax paid by each “quintil” on income distribution for Argentina between 1985 and 1990 with the impact that a tax on consumption with an uniform rate would have had on the same distribution and in the same period. Results required econometric...

This paper investigates the microfoundation of consumer decisions in Argentina. Structural parameters are estimated following the Euler Equation-GMM approach. Attention is focussed on parameter instability, an empirical difficulty for applying this method often pointed out in the literature. The...

Hodrick-Prescott filter has been the favourite empirical technique among researchers studying "cycles". Software facilities and the optimality criterion, from which the filter can be derived, can explain its wide use. However, different shortcomings and drawbacks have been pointed out in the...