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This Selected Issues paper presents an external stability assessment on Niger. Niger’s current account balance deteriorated in 2013, mostly on account of higher food and capital goods imports. The deficit is expected to widen further in 2014–15, mainly driven by large investment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242645
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Canadian economy strengthened in 2013 after a subdued performance in 2012, but the underlying growth has remained modest. Despite the depreciating exchange rate, non-energy exports remained well below the levels reached after earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244749
This 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights that over the past year, Mexico has maintained macroeconomic policy continuity, while pursuing an ambitious agenda of growth-enhancing reforms. Reforms have already been approved to upgrade education, make labor markets more flexible, and foster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245002
volatility in capital flows to emerging markets. The new SBA would provide a valuable policy anchor and support Romaniaâ …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245005
Several studies considered oil price as exchange rate determinants. The novelty of our paper is to test if the lagged oil price are statistically significant predictors of Moroccan and Tunisian exchange rate. We consider a stricter GARCH specifications (linear versus nonlinear, symmetric versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108802
the effects of oil price, external reserves and interest rate on exchange rate volatility in Nigeria using annual data … exchange rate volatility in Nigeria; which implies that exchange rate is susceptible to changes in oil price. The study … rate volatility significantly in Nigeria. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109692
We study the impact of oil price shocks on U.S. stock market volatility. We derive three different structural oil shock … variables (i.e. aggregate demand, oil-supply, and oil-demand shocks) and relate them to stock market volatility, using bivariate … stock market volatility only with delay. This implies that innovations to the price of crude oil are not strictly exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162062
volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models, including GARCH … the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257617
This paper investigates the dynamic properties of both return and volatility of the oil price. The analysis is carried …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764008
oil price changes and (iii) an increase in EPU has a delayed positive effect on volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891038