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In the second half of the 20th century, Spain provides a case of political regime change, which according to some political economy models should also lead to a shift in the cyclical nature of fiscal policy. We find that in most of the pre-democratic era, there was a strong procyclical bias to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875691
Was Spanish fiscal policy destabilizing? We estimate policy reaction functions and test the impact of fiscal shocks on growth volatility over the period 1950-1998. We find that a transition from pro-cyclical to countercyclical fiscal policy occurred in the late years of the Franco regime,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008526677
In the first age of rapid economic growth after 1945, fluctuations of western European output and employment were so mild that the very notion of a cycle was transformed or even seemed obsolete. A second period of much slower average economic growth was marked by large and frequent oscillations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196542
Spanish long-run fiscal sustainability is analysed by using the multicointegration methodology. It permits the estimation of dynamic equilibrium relationships between flow and stock variables, and is here adjusted to fit the recurrent use of monetization. The results reveal that seigniorage was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051504
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005108678
En este trabajo se detalla y cuantifica la relación formal existente entre los agregados base monetaria y disponibilidades líquidas (o M3). La evolución de estas últimas se debe no sólo a la propia expansión de la base, sino también al efecto que el multiplicador monetario ejerce a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692021
The concept of multicointegration allows to test the sustainability of public finances by assessing dynamic equilibrium relationships between flow and stock variables. This paper focus on the very long-run Spanish case, characterized by the more or less intensive use of monetization to offset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010627595
Despite the theoretical agreement on the inflationary effects of persistent deficits empirical work did not provide supporting evidence until the inclusion of non-developed countries in panel studies. This paper proposes an alternative approach, by exploiting the changes in development in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010627614
According to the literature, the predominance of budget deficits conditioned money growth in Spain while the peseta was its currency. The idea of a long-running fiscal interference in monetary dynamics is partly backed by the contribution of the public component to monetary base growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010631279
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005411463