We investigate the use of various job search strategies and their impact on the probability of subsequent employment and the re-employment wage among working age men in Britain. We find that replying to advertisements and using Job Centres are the two most common methods of job search and that...

This Paper presents new evidence on the determinants of unemployment duration for men and women in Britain in the 1990s, using a nationally representative data set. It examines the impact of individual and local labour market characteristics on the probability of unemployment spells ending with...

The authors estimate a target zone model for three ERM exchange rates for 1983-86 and 1987-91 by the method of simulated moments, taking account of the continuous time specification by using daily data with the interruptions of holidays and weekends. Specification tests are unable to reject the...

This paper uses data from the British Household Panel Survey to investigate the duration of self-employment spells in Britain. The results suggest that 40 percent of self-employment ventures started since 1991 have not survived their first year in business. Evidence is produced showing that a...

We carry out a large-scale investigation of technical trading rules in the foreign exchange market, using daily data over a maximum of forty years for thirty developed and emerging market currencies. Employing a stepwise test to safeguard against data-snooping bias and examining over 21,000...

We study the role of domestic and global factors on payoffs of portfolios built to mimic carry, dollar carry and momentum strategies. We construct domestic and global factors from a large dataset of macroeconomic and financial variables and find that global equity market factors render strong...

Using annual data spanning two centuries for dollar-sterling and franc-sterling real exchange rates, the authors find strong evidence of mean-reverting real exchange rate behavior. Using simple, stationary, autoregressive models estimated on prefloat data, they easily outperform nonstationary...

This paper utilizes previously unpublished, weekly U.K. interest-rate data from the Bank of England to estimate and test a variety of alternative models of the term structure of interest rates. The rational expectations model is tested and rejected (using an extension of the Campbell-Shiller...