The authors propose that the poor performance of portfolio models is due to their exclusion of speculative bubbles. They suggest a new unce rtainty-bubble solution (as opposed to a risk-bubble solution). Discr etion is minimized because the trend of the bubble is an exact functi on of the...

Many studies of regional disparity in China have focused on the preferential policies received by the coastal provinces. We decomposed the location dummies in provincial growth regressions to obtain estimates of the effects of geography and policy on provincial growth rates in 1996–99....

China has a built-in inflationary tendency because of the partially-reformed nature of its economic system. Specifically, the post-1978 marketization of the economy has interacted with the continued state ownership to create an inflationary 'liquidity tango' between the state-owned enterprises...

Premier Wen Jibao, when asked about how the Chinese government would deal with the overheating economy as indicated by the expanding money supply, bank credit and fixed investment, in a Reuters interview in April 2004, said: We need to take effective and very forceful measures to resolve those...

The authors seek to establish the general empirical importance of investment-motivated saving. Their hypothesis is that inadequate financial intermediation will induce agents to save more in order to undertake lumpy physical investment in the future. The result is a positive relationship between...