In this paper we propose the GHADA risk management model that is based on the gener- alized hyperbolic (GH) distribution and on a nonparametric adaptive methodology. Com- pared to the normal distribution, the GH distribution possesses semi-heavy tails and repre- sents the financial risk factors...

Statistische Prognosen basieren auf der Annahme, dass ein funktionaler Zusammenhang zwischen der zu prognostizierenden Variable y und anderen dimensionalen beobachtbaren Variablen x=(x1,...,xj)t – Rj besteht. Kann der funktionale Zusammenhang geschätzt werden, so kann im Prinzip für jedes x...

How can we measure and compare the relative performance of production units? If input and output variables are one dimensional, then the simplest way is to compute efficiency by calculating and comparing the ratio of output and input for each production unit. This idea is inappropriate though,...

This paper addresses the problem of estimating the monotone boundary of a nonconvex set in a full nonparametric and multivariate setup. This is particularly useful in the context of productivity analysis where the efficient frontier is the locus of optimal production scenarios. Then efficiency...

This paper develops a fully nonparametric method for estimating value-at-risk based on the adaptive volatility estimation and the nonparametric quantile estimation. The proposed method is simple, fast and easy to implement. We evaluated its numerical performance on the basis of Monte Carlo study...

Given n independent and identically distributed observations in a set G with an unknown function g, called a boundary or frontier, it is desired to estimate g from the observations. The problem has several important applications including classification and cluster analysis, and is closely...

As a function of time t, mean residual life is the remaining life expectancy of a subject given survival up to t. The proportional mean residual life model, proposed by Oakes & Dasu (1990), provides an alternative to the Cox proportional hazards model to study the association between survival...

We analyze a three-player legislative bargaining game over an ideological and a distributive decision. Legislators are privately informed about their ideological intensities, i.e., the weight placed on the ideological decision relative to the weight placed on the distributive decision....