Although the use of technical analysis in foreign exchange markets is well known, enduring and possibly profitably used, it is not well understood. In this paper implications of the efficient market hypothesis for the use of technical currency analysis are examined by an evaluation of the...

A new survey of fund managers reveals home bias for these sophisticated investors in a setting being unrestricted by customer preferences or legal requirements. We confirm informational and behavioural determinants of home bias and find them to hold simultaneously. Further examinations of...

This article extends earlier studies on exchange-rate expectations' formation by using new data and adding information about forecasters' reliance on fundamental analysis for the first time. We replicate the conventional result of nonrational expectations. Moreover, biases in expectations are...

The innovation of HDI versus GDP measurement significantly prefers countries with a more equal income distribution. This result also holds true for different data definitions and several indicators of distribution. It is also robust against some degree of error in the input data, identified...

This study shows that order flow in a foreign exchange market appears to have permanent price impact only if it comes from certain regions. These regions are - as predicted by the local information hypothesis - centers of political and financial decision making. It is revealing that orders from...

This paper contributes empirically to our understanding of informed traders. It analyzes traders' characteristics in an electronic limit order market via anonymous trader identities. We use six indicators of informed trading in a cross-sectional multivariate approach to identify traders with...

This paper analyzes the behaviour and motivation of fund managers in foreign exchange markets reflected in questionnaire evidence. We find that fund managers and FX dealers differ significantly. Fund managers rely more on fundamentals, basically due to their longer forecasting horizons, and...

The puzzling evidence of seemingly high momentum returns is related to an understanding of risk as a simple covariance. If we consider, however, risk in higher-order statistical moments, momentum returns appear less advantageous. Thus, a prospect-theoretical assessment of US stock momentum...

This paper provides evidence on the hypothesis that many behavioral finance patterns are so deeply rooted in human behavior that they are difficult to overcome by learning. We test this on a target group which has undoubtedly very strong incentives to learn efficient behavior, i.e. fund...