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In decision theory projects are usually evaluated in terms of their riskiness, and often decision under risk is … interconnections between the random quantities involved in the decision are taken into account. The conditions to be satisfied in order …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264723
We present a preference foundation for Chance Theory (CT), a model of decision making under uncertainty where the … rationality principles like first-order stochastic dominance or transitivity. Decision makers with CT-preferences always prefer …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886918
probability distributions on consequences as commonly done in decision theory. Our analysis singles out a number of characteristic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010795065
used to test the predictions of ten decision theories: risk neutrality, expected utility theory, fanning-out hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627782
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005613305
It has been accepted for over 270 years that the expected monetary value (EMV)of the St Petersburg game is infinite. Accepting this leads to a paradox; no reasonable person is prepared to pay the predicted large sum to play the game but will only pay, comparatively speaking, a very moderate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005790291
This paper examines some of the consequences for economic theory of the replacement of binary personal preferences by non-binary personal preferences in an Arrow-Debreu society as in Debreu (1959), and reaches the conclusion that there is both much damage to existing theory and greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008529321
The mean-variance approach is an influential theory of decision under risk proposed by Markowitz (Markowitz, H. 1952 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009214726
theory. We introduce a new representation of the decision maker’s set of events which extends the canonical representation …. We reformulate von Neumann and Morgenstern’s approach to modeling decision maker behavior by non-commutative probability … generalization of the expected utility theorem. Our generalization allows for decision makers to make an intuitive distinction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698312
This paper provides a general framework for a unifying treatment of stochastic dominance of any degree and of any type (direct or inverse for each final or intermediary level). It gives the conditions for the congruence between stochastic dominance and classes of utility functions in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821246