Showing 1 - 10 of 20
Decision makers benefit from the utilization of decision-support models in several applications. Obtaining managerial insights is essential to better inform the decision-process. This work offers an in-depth investigation into the structural properties of decision-support models. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097778
In selecting the preferred course of action, decision makers are often uncertain about one or more probabilities of interest. The experimental literature has ascertained that this uncertainty (ambiguity) might affect decision makers’ preferences. Then, the decision maker might wish to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264337
In the present paper we use the output of multiple expert elicitation surveys on the future cost of key low-carbon technologies and use it as input of three Integrated Assessment models, GCAM, MARKAL_US and WITCH. By means of a large set of simulations we aim to assess the implications of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208780
The complexity of integrated assessment models (IAMs) prevents the direct appreciation of the impact of uncertainty on the model predictions. However, for a full understanding and corroboration of model results, analysts might be willing, and ought to identify the model inputs that influence the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010940834
Mergers and acquisitions (M&A), private equity and leveraged buyouts, securitization and project finance are characterized by the presence of contractual clauses (covenants). These covenants trigger the technical default of the borrower even in the absence of insolvency. Therefore, borrowers may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010679125
This work addresses the early phases of the elicitation of multiattribute value functions proposing a practical method for assessing interactions and monotonicity. We exploit the link between multiattribute value functions and the theory of high dimensional model representations. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010695950
Simulation models support managers in the solution of complex problems. International agencies recommend uncertainty and global sensitivity methods as best practice in the audit, validation and application of scientific codes. However, numerical complexity, especially in the presence of a high...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608501
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005414400
Risk achievement worth is one of the most widely utilized importance measures. RAW is defined as the ratio of the risk metric value attained when a component has failed over the base case value of the risk metric. Traditionally, both the numerator and denominator are point estimates. Relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871276
type="main" xml:id="rssb12052-abs-0001" <title type="main">Summary</title> <p>Monotonic transformations are widely employed in statistics and data analysis. In computer experiments they are often used to gain accuracy in the estimation of global sensitivity statistics. However, one faces the question of interpreting results...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011148315