Showing 1 - 10 of 322
We study regression models that involve data sampled at different frequencies. We derive the asymptotic properties of the NLS estimators of such regression models and compare them with the LS estimators of a traditional model that involves aggregating or equally weighting data to estimate a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082616
We propose extensions of the continuous record asymptotic analysis for rolling sample variance estimators developed for estimating the quadratic variation of asset returns, referred to as integrated or realized volatility. We treat integrated volatility as a continuous time stochastic process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005430103
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) regressions. We also extract a novel small set of daily financial factors from a large panel of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080028
This paper presents an innovative approach to extracting factors which are shown to predict the VIX, the S&P 500 Realized Volatility and the Variance Risk Premium. The approach is innovative along two different dimensions, namely: (1) we extract factors from panels of filtered volatilities - in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010825860
Financial time series often undergo periods of structural change that yield biased estimates or forecasts of volatility and thereby risk management measures. We show that in the context of GARCH diffusion models ignoring structural breaks in the leverage coefficient and the constant can lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010578430
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727704
We introduce easy to implement regression-based methods for predicting quarterly real economic activity that use daily financial data and rely on forecast combinations of MIDAS regressions. Our analysis is designed to elucidate the value of daily information and provide real-time forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008738778
We propose procedures designed to uncover structural breaks in the co-movements of financial markets. A reduced form approach is introduced that can be considered as a two stage method for reducing dimensionality of multivariate heteroskedastic conditional volatility models through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991182
The paper evaluates the performance of several recently proposed tests for structural breaks in conditional variance dynamics of asset returns. The tests apply to the class of ARCH and SV type processes as well as data-driven volatility estimators using high-frequency data. In addition to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991184