In this paper we connect the discrepancy between two estimates of Fisher information, one based on the quadratic variation of the score and the other based on the negative Hessian of the log-likelihood, to weak identification. Classical asymptotic approximations assume that these two estimates...

This paper provides a brief review of the current state of knowledge on the topic of weakly-identified instrumental variable regression. We describe the essence of the problem of weak identification, possible methods for detecting it in applied work as well as methods robust to weak...

This paper considers a moments-based nonlinear estimator that is <inline-formula> </inline-formula>-consistent and uniformly asymptotically normal irrespective of the degree of persistence of the forcing process. These properties hold for linear autoregressive models, linear predictive regressions, and certain nonlinear dynamic...

This essay is a survey of the main econometric approaches to estimation of the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models widely used by central banks and federal reserves. The paper discusses in detail the main econometric problems arising in inferences about the parameters of the...

We study the impact of information revelation on efficiency in auctions. In a constrained-efficient mechanism, i.e. a mechanism that is efficient subject to the incentive-compatibility constraint, any additional information available to bidders increases the expected efficiency of the mechanism....

We consider inference in the linear regression model with one endoge- nous variable and potentially weak instruments. We construct confidence sets for the coefficient on the endogenous variable by inverting the Anderson-Rubin, Lagrange multiplier, and conditional likelihood-ratio tests. Our...

The purpose of this paper is to provide theoretical justification for some existing methods for constructing confidence intervals for the sum of coefficients in autoregressive models. We show that the methods of Stock (1991), Andrews (1993), and Hansen (1999) provide asymptotically valid...