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decouple the two-country macro dynamics of country averages and country differences such that the cointegration analysis can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010859410
combining (i) a VAR based cointegration analysis with (ii) a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and (iii … correction model. We find that the long-run properties of the system are characterized by four cointegration relations and one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009399655
criticized. Multivariate and panel cointegration, and nonlinear models are here implemented. The theory is rejected and both the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008753101
We show that empirical results concerning the behavior of floating exchange rates differ between otherwise identical cointegrated and non-cointegrated VAR models. In particular, virtually all ten-year movements in nominal exchange rates are due to fundamental supply and demand shocks when long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005644552
Policy actions by the ECB have potentially asymmetric effects across countries in Euroland. However, it is unclear whether these differences remain or whether convergence has taken place. This paper considers monetary policy transmission into real activity in a SVAR model. Extending earlier work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005582264
non-linear dynamic models may be characterized and studied, where the degree of stability is defined by the effects of exogenous shocks on the evolution of the observed stochastic system. This type of stability concept is frequently of interest in economics, e.g., in real business cycle theory....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651945
We formally define a concept of functional cointegration linking the dynamics of two time series via a functional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110617
to 1993, using cointegration techniques and the direction of causality relationship in the long and short runs between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008765920
This paper addresses how to enhance the role of data in structural model design by utilizing structural breaks and superfluous information as auxiliary tools of exact identification. To illustrate the procedure and to study the simultaneous interplay between financial variables and the real side...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980733
We find empirical evidence of a financial accelerator using a data based procedure of Structural Model Design. Credit to firms, asset prices and aggregate economic activity interact over the business cycle in our empirical model of a dynamic economy. Furthermore, the interdependence between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004980837