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The paper constructs various core inflation measures. These include various trimmed means using highly disaggregated data and a structural VAR estimate of core inflation for Ireland. The ability of these core inflation measures to forecast future headline inflation is compared using a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509776
Ireland has no ability to affect the exchange rate through interest rates following the adoption of the euro. This paper provides a theoretically transparent method for analysing the impact of an exchange rate shock on employment and the aggregate price level in this context. The split between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005537886
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010857083
This note examines the longer term implications for Ireland of changes to EU budgetary rules embodied in the Fiscal Compact. On the basis of fiscal projections to 2015, it presents illustrative scenarios showing the on-going correction in the budgetary position post-2015 needed to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575697
We examine the substantial increase in the volatility of oil pricesin the case of a small open economy — that of Ireland.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369018
The paper presents a real time database of economic time series for Ireland.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369033
Core inflation rates are widely calculated. The perceived benefit of core inflation rates is that they help to inform monetary policy. This is achieved by uncovering the underlying trend in inflation or by helping to forecast inflation. Studies which compare core inflation rates frequently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005014580
The paper presents a real time database of economic time series for Ireland. The database contains a record of what was considered official data at each point in time. The database is used to describe the properties of data revisions to the growth rates of GDP and its expenditure components in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005811712
The substantial increase in oil prices over the past six or seven years has provoked considerable comment within the international media. While this increase has not had quite the same impact as that experienced in the 1970's, the magnitude of the price increases still has significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005811718
Ireland has no ability to affect the exchange rate through interest rates since the adoption of the euro. This paper provides a theoretically transparent method for analysing the impact of an exchange rate shock on employment and inflation in this context. The split between the tradable and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005727905