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With a view to likelihood inference for discretely observed diffusion type models, we propose a simple method of simulating approximations to diffusion bridges. The method is applicable to all one-dimensional diffusion processes and has the advantage that simple simulation methods like the Euler...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462029
Likelihood inference for discretely observed Markov jump processes with finite state space is investigated. The existence and uniqueness of the maximum likelihood estimator of the intensity matrix are investigated. This topic is closely related to the imbedding problem for Markov chains. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005140189
The paper demonstrates how discrete time credit rating data (e.g. annual observations) can be analysed by means of a continuous-time Markov model. Two methods for estimating the transition intensities are given: the EM algorithm and an MCMC approach. The estimated transition intensities can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005279126
The Pearson diffusions is a flexible class of diffusions defined by having linear drift and quadratic squared diffusion coefficient. It is demonstrated that for this class explicit statistical inference is feasible. Explicit optimal martingale estimating func- tions are found, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440039
A review is given of parametric estimation methods for discretely sampled multivariate diffusion processes. The main focus is on estimating functions and asymptotic results. Maximum likelihood estimation is briefly considered, but the emphasis is on computationally less demanding martingale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440043
The general theory of prediction-based estimating functions for stochastic process models is reviewed and extended. Particular attention is given to optimal estimation, asymptotic theory and Gaussian processes. Several examples of applications are presented. In particular partial observation of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008802538
A general theory of efficient estimation for ergodic diffusions sampled at high fre- quency is presented. High frequency sampling is now possible in many applications, in particular in finance. The theory is formulated in term of approximate martingale estimating functions and covers a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114125
By an application of the theory of optimal estimating function, optimal instruments for dynamic models with conditional moment restrictions are derived. The general efficiency bound is provided, along with estimators attaining the bound. It is demonstrated that the optimal estimators are always...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114126
We propose a method for obtaining maximum likelihood estimates of parameters in diffusion models when the data is a discrete time sample of the integral of the process, while no direct observations of the process itself are available. The data are, moreover, assumed to be contaminated by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005375460