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I compare the two alternative paradigms of business cycles for the case of the Romanian economy, namely the mainstream view that business cycles are driven by stochastic shocks and the nonlinear view, known as the endogenous business cycles theory, which states that business cycles are driven by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010584169
The aim of these lecture notes is to present a few mathematical facts about the bifurcations of nonlinear difference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005057178
The first part of the paper is a brief introduction to the concepts and methods used in recent endogenous business cycles models. Endogenous deterministic and stochastic fluctuations are bound to occur, under increasingly plausible assumptions, in models with individual optimization, market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196035
The paper examines three aspects of a financial crisis of domestic origin. The first section studies the evolution of a debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real economy, and, ultimately, to debt deflation. The next...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671829
Three interrelated aspects typical of most financial crisis of domestic origin are brought together in a model in this paper. The first aspect is debt financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices which ultimately leads to credit crunch and debt deflation as lenders lose confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008455839
We prove the existence of monetary equilibrium in a finite horizon economy with production. We also show that if agents expect the monetary authority to significantly decrease the supply of bank money available for short term loans in the future, then the economy will fall into a liquidity trap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762579
In this paper, we set up a model of economic growth which deals with Keynesian unemployment, from non-Walrasian/Keynesian perspectives, investigate the possibility of persistent “growth cycles” generated and analyze the effects of flexibility of (real) wages on the long-run economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208931
We estimate a state-of-the-art DSGE model to study the natural rate of interest in the United States over the last 20 years. The natural rate is highly procyclical, and fell substantially below zero in each of the last three recessions. Although the drop was of comparable magnitude across the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815527
In modern capitalist economies, income distribution has a tendency to be in favor of shareholders. This paper interprets pro-shareholder distribution as a decrease in the retention ratio of firms and an increase in the profit share. We introduce labor supply constraints into a post-Keynesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776477
This paper investigates the effect of changes in the retention ratio, profit share, interest rate, and natural rate of growth on the rate of capital accumulation and the financial structure of firms by using a Kaleckian growth model with labor supply constraints. We show that if the economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010717435