This thesis first investigates various issues related with model averaging, and then evaluates two policies, i.e. West Development Drive in China and fiscal decentralization in U.S, using econometric tools. Chapter 2 proposes a hierarchical weighted least squares (HWALS) method to address...

Abstract: Prediction under model uncertainty is an important and difficult issue. Traditional prediction methods (such as pretesting) are based on model selection followed by prediction in the selected model, but the reported prediction and the reported prediction variance ignore the uncertainty...

This paper reconsiders the ‘curse of resources’ hypothesis for the case of China, and distinguishes between resource abundance, resource rents, and resource dependence. Resource abundance and resource rents are shown to be approximately equivalent, and their association with resource...

Abstract: In specifying a regression equation, we need to determine which regressors to include, but also how these regressors are measured. This gives rise to two levels of uncertainty: concepts (level 1) and measurements within each concept (level 2). In this paper we propose a hierarchical...

In this paper, conceptual modeling as well as numerical simulation of two-phase flow in deep, deformable geological formations induced by CO2 injection are presented. The conceptual approach is based on balance equations for mass, momentum and energy completed by appropriate constitutive...

To investigate the impact of defrosting-water retention on the surface of heat exchangers of the air source heat pump (ASHP) performance during frosting–defrosting cycles, an experimental study has been conducted. Testing was carried out in a controlled-environment chamber with ASHP...

A study is presented on the characteristics of the air source heat pump (ASHP) under two kinds of typical mal-defrost phenomena. The definition of the “Mal-defrost phenomena” is put forward, and the possible origins of their occurrence are analyzed. It is concluded that the current defrost...

To quantify the performance drop of the air source heat pump (ASHP) system under a special kind of mal-defrost phenomenon appearing in moderate climate conditions, a field test was conducted for 8days at the initial stage of a heating season in Beijing, China. The mal-defrost was found with the...