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We propose a modified time lag random matrix theory in order to study time lag cross-correlations in multiple time series. We apply the method to 48 world indices, one for each of 48 different countries. We find long-range power-law cross-correlations in the absolute values of returns that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836355
Employing detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and detrended cross-correlations analysis (DCCA), we analyze auto-correlations in the absolute returns for each of 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) constituents, Si, and cross-correlations in the absolute returns between the DJIA and each Si....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062183
When common factors strongly influence two power-law cross-correlated time series recorded in complex natural or social systems, using classic detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) without considering these common factors will bias the results. We use detrended partial cross-correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257663
Housing markets play a crucial role in economies and the collapse of a real-estate bubble usually destabilizes the financial system and causes economic recessions. We investigate the systemic risk and spatiotemporal dynamics of the US housing market (1975-2011) at the state level based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727646
We develop a scale-invariant truncated Lévy (STL) process to describe physical systems characterized by correlated stochastic variables. The STL process exhibits Lévy stability for the probability density, and hence shows scaling properties (as observed in empirical data); it has the advantage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010873832
We model the time series of the S&P500 index by a combined process, the AR+GARCH process, where AR denotes the autoregressive process which we use to account for the short-range correlations in the index changes and GARCH denotes the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic process...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011058262
We report quantitative relations between corruption level and economic factors, such as country wealth and foreign investment per capita, which are characterized by a power law spanning multiple scales of wealth and investments per capita. These relations hold for diverse countries, and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005098814
We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multi-variate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099259
In order to investigate whether government regulations against corruption can affect the economic growth of a country, we analyze the dependence between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita growth rates and changes in the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI). For the period 1999-2004 on average...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005099373
Here we propose a method, based on detrended covariance which we call detrended cross-correlation analysis (DXA), to investigate power-law cross-correlations between different simultaneously-recorded time series in the presence of non-stationarity. We illustrate the method by selected examples...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005105839