Since 2011 China attempts to internationalise its currency by allowing more cross-border trade to be settled in renminbi (RMB). Via the so-called RMB Trade Settlement Scheme trade partners are able to pay and to be paid in RMB offshore. Due to the mostly closed mainland (onshore) market, both...

As the future movements of financial time series like the European Central Bank’s benchmark rate are exposed to uncertainty, financial market participants regularly have to rely on professional analysts’ forecasts. Not surprisingly—and for decades already—the quality of survey forecasts...