We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regressionbased forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate that...

We examine the impact of uncertainty on employment dynamics. Alternative measures of uncertainty are constructed based on the survey of professional forecasters, and regression-based forecasting models for GDP growth, inflation, S&P500 stock price index, and fuel prices. Our results indicate...

Using the framework provided by the asymmetric-information and real-options theories, we examine the impact of uncertainty on firms’ decisions and market outcomes. We construct alternative measures of uncertainty based on survey of professional forecasters and our estimation of...

Motivated by relatively recent theoretical contributions on the role played by uncertainty, sunk costs and technological change in influencing entry, exit and industry structure, we conduct an empirical analysis covering 267 U.S. manufacturing industries over the period 1963-1992.

Trade barriers are failing and U.S. producers are competing in increasingly open international markets. Further, data reveal considerable heterogeneity across industries in the intertemporal path of import-penetration. Against this backdrop, we focus on an issue that is increasingly important...

We provide a set of stylized facts on the response of industry nominal wage growth to aggregate and industry-specific influences using annual data for 450 U.S. manufacturing industries over the period 1958 to 1989. We find support for the canonical wage contracts model the response of nominal...