Does a change in the public׳s holdings of government debt affect the term structure of interest rates? Empirical analysis using a VAR model indicates that a rise in these holdings of the real debt-to-GDP ratio increases both the three-month and ten-year U.S. nominal yields in a statistically...

We find that investors' expectations of U.S. nominal yields, at different maturities and forecast horizons, exhibit significant time-variation during the Great Moderation. Nominal zero-coupon bond yields for the U.S. are used to fit the yield curve using a latent factor model. In the benchmark...

This paper investigates the effects of the East Asian crisis on the Indian economy and exchange rate movements. Despite the contagion effects that profoundly affected the other crisis-hit countries, the Indian economy and the rupee were found less affected. Reforms after the 1990–1991 crisis,...

This paper tests and explains the impact of the East Asian crisis on India’s exchange rate. To examine this, an index of currency pressure is estimated for four countries -- Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia and India covering the period just before, during and after the crisis. A contagion...

During 1984-2004, the learning model outperforms other models. The updating parameter is calibrated using survey data, and the parameters are revised similarly - investors pay attention to approximately past thirty quarters of data on the level, slope and curvature of the yield curve. When...