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The findings in the recent energy economic literature that energy economic variables are non-stationary, heve led to an implicit or explicit dismissal of the standard autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model in estimating energy demand relationships. However, Pesaran and Shin (1997) show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005641339
We consider multicointegration in the sense of Granger and Lee (1990), that is, the cumulated equilibrium error cointegrates with the process itself. It is shown, that if the process is given by the cointegrated VAR model for I(1) variables, then multicointegration cannot occur. If, however, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005816392
The consumption based capital asset pricing model is evaluated using Hansen and Jagannathan (1991) bounds and 68 years of annual UK data. In contrast to the standard statistical methodology, the Hansen-Jagannathan methodology is fully non-parametric and based on only one principle from economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504186
In recent years the Present Value (PV) model has been used extensively to interpret the behaviour of farmland prices. In this paper the rational expectations version of the PV-model used by Tegene and Kuchler (1993) to test for bubbles is examined using long time-series data for land prices and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005435357
We extend the VAR based intertemporal asset allocation approach from Campbell et al. (2003) to the case where the VAR parameter estimates are adjusted for small-sample bias. We apply the analytical bias formula from Pope (1990) using both Campbell et al.'s dataset, and an extended dataset with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440049
We suggest an iterated GMM approach to estimate and test the consumption based habit persistence model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999), and we apply the approach on annual and quarterly Danish stock and bond returns. For comparative purposes we also estimate and test the standard CRRA model. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440066
Within a bivariate VAR model allowing for two-state Markov regime switching we test and evaluate the Expectations Theory (ET) of the term structure using Danish 1- and 3-months interest rates covering the period 1976-1997. A regime-shift approach is used in order to account for the change in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382303
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