Showing 1 - 10 of 33
This impressive Handbook presents the quantitative techniques that are commonly employed in empirical finance research together with real-world, state-of-the-art research examples.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011174122
In this paper, we examine the temporal stability of the evidence for two commodity futures pricing theories. We investigate whether the forecast power of commodity futures can be attributed to the extent to which they exhibit seasonality and we also consider whether there are time varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010635967
We employ a large dataset of physical inventory data on 21 different commodities for the period 1993-2011 to empirically analyze the behaviour of commodity prices and their volatility as predicted by the theory of storage. We examine two main issues. First, we explore the relationship between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111409
In this paper, we study jumps in commodity prices. Unlike assumed in existing models of commodity price dynamics, a simple analysis of the data reveals that the probability of tail events is not constant but depends on the time of the year, i.e. exhibits seasonality. We propose a stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263470
In this article, we consider the pricing and hedging of single‐route dry bulk freight futures contracts traded on the International Maritime Exchange. Thus far, this relatively young market has received almost no academic attention. In contrast to many other commodity markets, freight services...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011198230
This study analyzes the issue of American option valuation when the underlying exhibits a GARCH‐type volatility process. We propose the usage of Rubinstein's Edgeworth binomial tree (EBT) in contrast to simulation‐based methods being considered in previous studies. The EBT‐based valuation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196965
In this paper, we study the role of the volatility risk premium for the forecasting performance of implied volatility. We introduce a non-parametric and parsimonious approach to adjust the model-free implied volatility for the volatility risk premium and implement this methodology using more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738271
This paper reviews extant research on commodity price dynamics and commodity derivative pricing models. In the first half, we provide an overview of key characteristics of commodity price behavior that have been explored and documented in the theoretical and empirical literature. In the second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883202
Price movements in many commodity markets exhibit significant seasonal patterns. In this paper, we study the effects of seasonal volatility on models’ option pricing performance. In terms of options pricing, a deterministic seasonal component at the price level can be neglected. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010838042
Many commodity markets contain a strong seasonal component in volatility. In this paper, the importance of this seasonal behavior for the pricing of commodity options is analyzed. We propose a stochastic volatility model where the drift term of the variance process captures the observed seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010838043