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The paper considers tests for structural change in time series regression models where both regressors and residuals may exhibit long range dependence. The limiting distribution of the test statistic depends on unknown parameters and is approximated by a bootstrap procedure. The asymptotic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063603
In this paper we propose a new approach based on principal components analysis to test for the number of common stochastic trends driving the non-stationary series in a panel data set. This test has the advantage that it is also consistent when there is a mixture of I(0) and I(1) series, making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005682218
A new test is proposed for the null of absence of serial correlation. The test uses a data-driven smoothing parameter. The resulting test statistic has a standard limit distribution under the null. The smoothing parameter is calibrated to achieve rate-optimality against several classes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528564
Our data on investment in Central and Eastern European economies reveal that, though investment rates were typically high in the 1970s, the marginal efficiency of investment was low. Investment shares begun to decline in the 1980s, before the collapse of the communist system, but there was some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701387
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005122766
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262347
Our data on investment in Central and Eastern European economies reveal that, though investment rates were typically high in the 1970s, the marginal efficiency of investment was low. Investment shares begun to decline in the 1980s, before the collapse of the communist system, but there was some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005674014
Harvey, Leybourne and Taylor [Harvey, D.I., Leybourne, S.J., Taylor, A.M.R. 2009. Simple, robust and powerful tests of the breaking trend hypothesis. Econometric Theory 25, 995–1029] develop a test for the presence of a broken linear trend at an unknown point in the sample whose size is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052199
Testing for the presence of a broken linear trend when the nature of the persistence in the data is unknown is not a trivial problem, because the test needs to be both asymptotically correctly sized and consistent, regardless of the order of integration of the data. In a recent paper, Sayginsoy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067372
We consider a cointegrated system generated by processes that may be fractionally integrated, and by additive polynomial and generalized polynomial trends. In view of the consequent competition between stochastic and deterministic trends, we consider various estimates of the cointegrating vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746344