This paper analyzes whether, and to what extent, the Danish 1, 5 and 10-year equity premia <p> are predictable. We examine the predictive power of a comprehensive list of financial ratios, <p> interest rates and so forth. The results show that the 5-year premium is predictable in the <p> sense that the...</p></p></p>

Med afsæt i et historisk lavt dividende-pris (D-P) forhold har Tom Engsted & Carsten <p> Tanggaard prædikteret, at det danske aktiemarked vil falde med 50 % i.f.t niveauet i 1996, <p> idet en tilbagevenden af D-P ratioen til det historiske gennemsnit hævdes primært at komme i <p> stand via...</p></p></p>

This short paper studies the empirical relationship between realized stock returns and bond <p> yields at the 5- and 10-year investment horizons, respectively. Using annual Danish data since <p> 1927, we find that stock returns and bond yields are closely linked in the medium and long <p> term, as we...</p></p></p>

Using Danish data for the post-World War II-period, we estimate a simple model for the long-run behavior of stock prices. We find a stable and strong cointegrating relation between stock prices and two macroeconomic “fundamentals” variables, firm profits and the nominal bond rate. Both...

We estimate a well-specified two-state regime-switching model for Danish stock returns. The <p> model identifies two regimes which have low return-low volatility and high return-high <p> volatility, respectively. The low return-low volatility regime dominated, except in a few, short <p> episodes, until...</p></p></p>

Using annual data over the post-World War I-period, we estimate a fundamentals-based <p> empirical model for the dividend-price ratio of Danish stocks. The key fundamentals-variable <p> is a time-varying discount rate, decomposed into time-varying measures for the growth-adjusted <p> real interest rate...</p></p></p>

We suggest an alternative approach to testing whether stocks provide a hedge against <p> inflation in the long run. Based on a simple structural model, we test the hedge hypothesis in <p> terms of the long-run linkage between stock prices and the general price level, as estimated <p> by cointegration...</p></p></p>

This paper addresses the question of the possible real side effects of exchange rate devaluation in a small dependent economy, with a specific empirical application to Jordan. A macroeconomic model is constructed on the basis of a number of stylized facts which characterize the Jordanian...

In this paper, the authors analyze how job security policies, which in practice result in higher firing costs, affect long-run employment and investment in a two-country model with free trade in goods and capital. The effects turn out to depend crucially on the preferences of trade unions and,...