Several papers that make forecasts about the long-term impact of the current financial crisis rely on models in which there is only one type of financial crisis. These models tend to predict that the current crisis will have long lasting negative effects on economic growth. This paper points out...

An advantage of collective wage agreement is that search and business-stealing externalities can be internalized. A disadvantage is that it takes more time before an optimal allocation is reached because more productive firms (for a particular worker type) can no longer signal this by posting...

In a search model with two sided heterogeneity and on-the-job search, we compare collective bargaining agreements (CBA) with a decentralized bargaining outcome case. Under CBA, a union chooses a pay-scale schedule and the firm can select a wage from this pay scale after observing match quality....

We investigate, by Monte Carlo methods, the finite sample properties of GMM procedures for conducting inference about statistics that are of interest in the business cycle literature. These statistics include the second moments of data filtered using the first difference and Hodrick-Prescott...

Changes in the stock of inventories are important for fluctuations in aggregate output. However, the possibility that firms do not sell all produced goods and inventory accumulation are typically ignored in business cycle models. This paper captures this with a goods-market friction. Using US...

This paper develops a framework with a standard labor market matching friction and a friction in commodities markets which leads to firms not always selling everything being produced and thus to inventory accumulation. A savings glut can lead to a downward spiral in which reductions in consumer...

This paper analyzes the feedback between firms' hiring decisions and the demand for their products in an environment in which agents are poorly insulated from the financial consequences of unemployment. In such an environment, an increase in the risk of remaining unemployed for a long time...

In this paper, we analyze the business cycle behavior of home mortgages and consumer credit and investigate whether the observed changes. and in particular observed changes in the comovement between the loan variables and real activity. are likely to be caused by changes in financial markets. We...

This raises the question whether standard solution techniques such as linearization are accurate enough in those models in which enough volatility is generated. This paper shows that often this is not the case. When enough volatility is generated the non-linearities matter and both first-order...