made in eight conflict situations. These were difficult forecasting problems; the 32% accuracy of the unaided experts was … accurate. Collaboration did not improve accuracy. …

made in eight conflict situations. These were difficult forecasting problems; the 32% accuracy of the unaided experts was … accurate. Collaboration did not improve accuracy. …

ratings. However, Study 2 shows that when feedback on advisor accuracy is unavailable or costly, confident advisors hold sway … regardless of accuracy. People also made less effort to determine the accuracy of confident advisors; interest in buying advisor …, accuracy, and calibration influence others. …

assess whether or not wider income differences play a causal role leading to worse health. We conducted a literature review …

large body of research. The aim of this paper is to review the concept of social capital in an organizational context, and … beyond being merely metaphor for advantage. First, the unresolved issue of causality is a barrier in the study of social … individual and organizational social capital <p> lacks a consistent, bridging theory. Finally, there is a lack of understanding …

The purpose of this paper is to review, summarise and critically assess the academic studies that have dealt with … from 2007 and outline recent forecasts for electricity demand. The results of this review aim to identify gaps in the … studies examining the causality direction between energy (electricity) consumption and economic growth have failed to reach a …

makers' mental representations of the alternatives, measured with both verbal and nonverbal judgment probes. We found that …, however, remained even when accounting for this judgment distortion and the effects of sampling bias. Indeed, participants …

violate the partition inequality implied by the classical theory of decision under uncertainty. …We develop a belief-based account of decision under uncertainty. This model predicts decisions under uncertainty from … (i) judgments of probability, which are assumed to satisfy support theory; and (ii) decisions under risk, which are …