Showing 1 - 10 of 82
We propose a new test for the parametric form of the volatility function in continuous time diffusion models of the type dXt = a(t,Xt)dt + s(t,Xt)dWt. Our approach involves a range-based estimation of the integrated volatility and the integrated quarticity, which are used to construct the test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440034
We propose a new test for the parametric form of the volatility function in continuous time diffusion models of the type dXt = a(t;Xt)dt + _(t;Xt)dWt. Our approach involves a range-based estimation of the integrated volatility and the integrated quarticity, which are used to construct the test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114121
In this paper we propose a test to determine whether jumps are present in a discretely sampled process or not. We use the concept of truncated power variation to construct our test statistics for (i) semimartingale models and (ii) semimartingale models with noise. The test statistics converge to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114130
In this paper a new method for monotone estimation of discount curves is proposed. The main idea of this approach is a simple modification of the commonly used (unconstrained) McCulloch Spline. We construct an integrated density estimate from the predicted values of the discount curve. It can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004977429
We propose a new set of formal backtests for VaR-forecasts that significantly improve upon existing backtesting procedures. Our new test of unconditional coverage can be used for both one-sided and two-sided testing, which leads to a significantly increased power. Second, we stress the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077978
We investigate if portfolios can be improved if the classical Markowitz mean–variance portfolio theory is combined with recently proposed change point tests for dependence measures. Taking into account that the dependence structure of financial assets typically cannot be assumed to be constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728121
We present a test to determine whether variances of time series are constant over time. The test statistic is a suitably standardized maximum of cumulative first and second moments. We apply the test to time series of various assets and find that the test performs well in applications. Moreover,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010846102
We present a completely automated optimization strategy which combines the classical Markowitz mean-variance portfolio theory with a recently proposed test for structural breaks in covariance matrices. With respect to equity portfolios, global minimum-variance optimizations, which base solely on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145062
We analyze a new fluctuation test for constant correlation with respect to its properties and possible applications in finance. On the one hand, a simulation study examines the properties particularly with regard to a comparison with a previous standard method. On the other hand, we apply the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994210
In this paper a new and very simple method for monotone estimation of discount curves is proposed. The main idea of this approach is a simple modification of the commonly used (unconstrained) Mc-Culloch Spline. We construct an integrated density estimate from the predicted values of the discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009219881