In this article we examine the persistence nature of Taiwan's aggregate output fluctuations by using the 'innovation regime-switching' (IRS) model in which the effect of an innovation may be permanent or transitory, depending on an unobservable state variable that follows a first order Markov...

We investigate Campbell and Mankiw's 'rule of thumb' consumption model using data from five East Asian countries. We find that the fraction of income attributed to the 'rule of thumb' consumers are generally substantial for these countries. In particular, the fractions for them are generally...

It is widely believed that following the adoption of the euro, long run purchasing power parity (PPP) is more likely to hold within the euro countries. By applying the panel unit root test of Pesaran (2007) to real exchange rate data of eleven euro countries for the sample period of January 1957...

In this paper we examine variance bound tests of the joint hypothesis that (1) bond markets are efficient and (2) the term structure is determined by the expectations hypothesis. Both the Singleton and Shiller tests are shown to be seriously biased toward rejecting the joint hypothesis in finite...

This paper examines international capital mobility by estimating intertemporal current account models for nine major industrialized countries. To account for the large fluctuations of oil prices (the terms-of-trade) and their effects on the current account, an intertemporal current account model...

In this paper we take a different modeling approach based on the component driven (CD) model developed in Kuan, Huang, and Tsay~(2003) to test the permanent income hypothesis (PIH), an example of intertemporal choice models. A key feature of this approach is that it explicitly allows for state...

This essay studies the contribution of Ta-Chung Liu to econometrics by focusing on the models and methods of Liu's econometric practices from the 1950s to the 1970s. We document his development of an exploratory econometric approach, a development he effected by experimenting with tools and...