Using settlement prices and nine years of daily commitments for large reporting traders in the frozen pork bellies futures market, the authors find that these traders generate significant profits and the distribution of trader returns over time is not random. Further analysis finds that a subset...

A binomial model is developed to value options when the underlying process follows the constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model. This model is proposed by Cox and Ross (1976) as an alternative to the Black and Scholes (1973) model. In the CEV model, the stock price change (dS) has volatility...

The San Francisco Bay Area has one of the most congested metropolitan corridors in both California and nationwide, with very high demand for both passenger and air-freight transport. It is also a main entrance to the United States for the huge Asia market, and thus critical for the United States...

This paper extends Meyer’s (1987) location-scale family with general n random seed sources. Firstly, we clarify and generalize existing results to this multivariate setting. Some useful geometrical and topological properties of the location-scale expected utility functions are obtained....

We develop some properties on the autocorrelation of the k-period returns for the general mean reversion (GMR) process in which the stationary component is not restricted to the AR(l) process but take the form of a general ARMA process. We then derive some properties of the GMR process and three...

This paper focuses on the role of technical analysis in signalling the timing of stock market entry and exit. Test statistics are introduced to test the performance of the most established of the trend followers, the Moving Average, and the most frequently used counter-trend indicator, the...

Levy and Levy (2002, 2004) develop the Prospect and Markowitz stochastic dominance theory with S-shaped and reverse S-shaped utility functions for investors. In this paper, we extend Levy and Levy’s Prospect Stochastic Dominance theory (PSD) and Markowitz Stochastic Dominance theory (MSD) to...

Gordon and Shapiro (1956) first equated the price of a share with the present value of future dividends and derived the well-known relationship. Since then, there have been many improvements on the theory. For example, Thompson (1985, 1987) combined the "dividend yield plus growth" method with...

In this paper we analyse the repeated time series model where the fundamental component follows a ARMA process. In the model, the error variance as well as the number of repetition are allowed to change over time. It is shown that the model is identified. The maximum likelihood estimator is...

In this paper, we first develop the modified maximum likelihood (MML) estimators for the multiple regression coefficients in linear model with the underlying distribution assumed to be symmetric, one of Student's t family. We obtain the closed form of the estimators and derive their asymptotic...