Showing 1 - 10 of 601
This paper examines historical data on daily real wages in England for the time period 1260-1994 by means of new statistical techniques suitable for modelling long memory both at the long run and the cyclical frequencies. Specifically, it uses a procedure due to Robinson (1994) which is based,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005450139
This article examines the stochastic properties of US term spreads with parametric and semi-parametric fractional integration techniques. Since the observed data (rather than the estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression) are used for the analysis, standard methods can be applied. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010976545
This article deals with the analysis of house price indexes from a long-range dependence viewpoint. In particular, it estimates the fractional differencing parameter in the London and Paris house price series recognizing in some cases the potential seasonality and allowing for breaks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010824124
This article investigates inflation in Mozambique using long-range dependence (LRD) techniques in monthly data from December 1995 to October 2012. Two important features of the data are analysed: persistence and seasonality, looking at aggregated and disaggregated data. The stability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010824155
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil prices and real interest rates in the UK by means of fractional cointegration techniques. In doing so, we allow for a much greater degree of flexibility in the dynamic behaviour of the series than the one achieved by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004984431
In this article we analyse the monthly structure of the Brazilian inflation rate by means of using fractionally integrated techniques. This series is characterized by strong government interventions to bring inflation to a low level. We use a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994) which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005748250
This paper deals with the relationship between international trade and tourism. In particular, we focus on the effect that German tourism to Spain has on German imports of Spanish wine. Due to the different stochastic properties of the series under analysis, which display different orders of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005748251
In this article we want to examine the time series behaviour of the UK unemployment using new statistical tools based on long memory nonstationary processes. In particular, we use a procedure developed by Robinson (1994) that permit us to simultaneously consider unit and fractional roots at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008512531
This paper deals with the sustainability of the US current account using fractional integration. We examine nominal and real exports and imports and their corresponding values deflated by GNP. The results show that only the variables deflated by GNP may contain unit roots, while nominal and real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598934
This article investigates the real convergence of 17 Latin American countries to the US economy for the period 1950 to 2011. Time series methods are used to test stochastic and β-convergence. These methods include the possibility of one or two structural changes. The results show that when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010619048