Showing 1 - 10 of 243
The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to introduce a topological component into the analysis,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747631
Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial system and the interdependence of financial markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747638
We analyse a multiplex of networks between OECD countries during the decade 2002-2010, which consists of five financial layers, given by foreign direct investment, equity securities, short-term, long-term and total debt securities, and five environmental layers, given by emissions of N O x, P M...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011240731
Adult learning is seen as a key factor for enhancing employment, innovation and growth, and it should concern all age cohorts. The aim of this paper is to understand the points in the life cycle at which adult learning takes place and whether it leads to reaching a medium or high level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010720337
This paper introduces a new model of structural breaks in the coefficients of economic relationships which allows them to be driven by large past economic shocks. The breaks generated by these shocks can be taken to reflect stochastic changes in agents' decisions or beliefs triggered by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008551019
We propose a new approach to forecasting the term structure of interest rates, which allows to efficiently extract the information contained in a large panel of yields. In particular, we use a large Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) with an optimal amount of shrinkage towards univariate AR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498390
This paper considers the issue of bootstrap resampling in panel data sets. The availability of data sets with large temporal and cross-sectional dimensions suggests the possibility of new resampling schemes. We suggest one possibility which has not been widely explored in the literature. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005607134
The presence of cross-sectionally correlated error terms invalidates much inferential theory of panel data models. Recent work by Pesaran (2006) suggests a method which makes use of cross-sectional averages to provide valid inference for stationary panel regressions with multifactor error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113801
This paper presents the theoretical development of new threshold autoregressive models based on trended time series. The theoretical arguments underlying the models are outlined and a nonlinear economic model is used to derive the specification of the empirical econometric models. Estimation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113856
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005122634