This paper investigates the behaviour of the pooled ols estimator in a panel model with stationary and nonstationary regressores as both N amd T go to infinity. the nonstationary regressor is assumed I(1) ,the stationary regressor is set i.i.d.The investigation is carried through four Monte...

We propose a model diagnostic device to compare different linear and non linear parametric time series models of real GDP business cycle.The comparison appears of remarkable economic importance since different models have very different implications in term of long run persistence of negative...

For a long time fuels such as gas, coal or oil have been the most important cost items for power generation accounting for 70% of the variable costs (Crampes and Fabra, 2005), since they were usually marginal generation technologies that set wholesale prices (Bosco et al., 2010). Intuitively,...

Using daily data from July 2005 to February 2011 for WTI, Dubai and Brent futures contracts, we employ a VAR-BEKK model to investigate crude oil markets integration on the second moment. We also quantify the size and persistence of these connections through the analysis of Volatility Impulse...

We investigate evidence on the effects of OPEC announcements on world oil prices by examining announcements from both official conferences and ministerial meetings on major international crudes, including the key benchmarks and several other heavy and light grades. With data from 1982 to 2008,...

A new non-causality test based on the notion of distance between ARMA models is proposed in this paper. The advantage of this test is that it can be used in possible integrated and cointegrated systems, without pre-testing for unit roots and cointegration. The Monte Carlo experiments indicate...

The authors address the issue of estimation and inference in dependent non-stationary panels of small cross-section dimensions. The main conclusion is that the best results are obtained applying bootstrap inference to single-equation estimators, such as fully modified ordinary least squares and...

Non stationary panel models allowing for unobservable common trends have recently become very popular. However, standard methods, which are based on factor extraction or models augmented with cross-section averages, require large sample sizes, not always available in practice. In these cases we...

We develop a sieve bootstrap range test for poolability of cointegrating regressions in dependent panels and evaluate by simulation its performances. The test seems to have good size and power properties even with small cross-sections, moderate time samples, and low heterogeneity.

Stability tests for cointegrating coefficients are known to have very low power with small to medium sample sizes. In this paper we propose to solve this problem by extending the tests to dependent cointegrated panels through the stationary bootstrap. Simulation evidence shows that the proposed...